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progesterone

Sold as Crinone, Endometrin, Prometrium. Class: Pregnen (4) derivatives. First FDA approval 11/01/1974: 52 years on the US market.

This grade answers one narrow question: how strong is the public evidence and safety record behind this drug, and how clean is its money trail and court record? It is not a verdict on whether the drug is right for you.

C

Score breakdown (74/100)

Safety ×35%
C
Evidence ×25%
B
Regulatory ×15%
A
Money & lawsuits ×15%
A
Options ×10%
A

Safety: 65

Evidence: 86

Regulatory history: 92

Money & lawsuits: 100

Options: 100

FDA boxed warning

WARNING: CARDIOVASCULAR DISORDERS, BREAST CANCER and PROBABLE DEMENTIA FOR ESTROGEN PLUS PROGESTIN THERAPY Cardiovascular Disorders and Probable Dementia Estrogens plus progestin therapy should not be used for the prevention of cardiovascular disease or dementia. (See CLINICAL STUDIES and WARNINGS , Cardiovascular disorders and Probable dementia . ) The Women's Health Initiative (WHI) estrogen plus progestin substudy reported increased risks of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, stroke and myocardial infarction in postmenopausal women (50 to 79 years of age) during 5.6 years of treatment with daily oral conjugated estrogens (CE) [0.625 mg] combined with medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) [2.5 mg], relative to placebo. (See CLINICAL STUDIES and WARNINGS , Cardiovascular disorders . ) The WHI Memory Study (WHIMS) estrogen plus progestin ancillary study of the WHI reported an increased risk of developing probable dementia in postmenopausal women 65 years of age or older during 4 years of treatment with daily CE (0.625 mg) combined with MPA (2.5 mg), relative to placebo. It is unknown whether this finding applies to younger postmenopausal women. (See CLINICAL STUDIES and WARNINGS...

Independent reviews and post-approval warnings

WHO Essential Medicine

Listed on the WHO Model List of Essential Medicines: a global expert panel judged it among the medicines a health system should always have, on evidence of value, not marketing.

What the FDA label says

Approved uses

INDICATIONS AND USAGE PROMETRIUM ® (progesterone, USP) Capsules are indicated for use in the prevention of endometrial hyperplasia in nonhysterectomized postmenopausal women who are receiving conjugated estrogens tablets. They are also indicated for use in secondary amenorrhea.

Contraindications

CONTRAINDICATIONS PROMETRIUM is contraindicated in women with any of the following conditions: 1. Hypersensitivity to its ingredients. PROMETRIUM Capsules contain peanut oil and is contraindicated in patients allergic to peanuts. 2. Abnormal genital bleeding of unknown etiology. 3. Known, suspected, or history of breast cancer. 4. Active deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism or history of these conditions. 5. Active arterial thromboembolic disease (for example, stroke and myocardial infarction), or a history of these conditions. 6. Known liver dysfunction or disease.

Warnings and precautions

WARNINGS 1. Cardiovascular disorders PROMETRIUM is contraindicated in females with active DVT, PE, arterial thromboembolic disease (e.g., stroke, MI) disease, or a history of these conditions (See CONTRAINDICATIONS ). Immediately discontinue PROMETRIUM if a PE, DVT, stroke, or MI occurs or is suspected. If feasible, discontinue PROMETRIUM at least 4 to 6 weeks before surgery of the type associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism, or during periods of prolonged immobilization. The safety and efficacy of estrogen plus progestogen for the prevention of cardiovascular disorders has not been established. (See CLINICAL STUDIES ) The Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) estrogen plus progestin trial reported increased risks of PE, DVT, stroke, and MI in postmenopausal women (50 to 79 years of age, average age 63.4 years) during 5.6 years of treatment with daily oral conjugated estrogens (CE) [0.625 mg] combined with medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) [2.5 mg], relative to placebo. Analyses were also conducted in women aged 50-59 years, a group of women more likely to present with new onset of moderate to severe VMS compared to women in other age groups in the trial. (See CLINICAL STUD...

Adverse reactions (label)

ADVERSE REACTIONS See WARNINGS and PRECAUTIONS . Because clinical trials are conducted under widely varying conditions, adverse reaction rates observed in the clinical trials of a drug cannot be directly compared to rates in the clinical trials of another drug and may not reflect the rates observed in practice. In a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, the effects of PROMETRIUM Capsules on the endometrium was studied in a total of 875 postmenopausal women. Table 7 lists adverse reactions greater than or equal to 2 percent of women who received cyclic PROMETRIUM Capsules 200 mg daily (12 days per calendar month cycle) with 0.625 mg conjugated estrogens or placebo. TABLE 7. Adverse Reactions (≥ 2%) Reported in an 875 Patient Placebo-Controlled Trial in Postmenopausal Women Over a 3-Year Period [Percentage (%) of Patients Reporting] PROMETRIUM Capsules 200 mg with Conjugated Estrogens 0.625 mg Placebo (n=178) (n=174) Headache 31 27 Breast Tenderness 27 6 Joint Pain 20 29 Depression 19 12 Dizziness 15 9 Abdominal Bloating 12 5 Hot Flashes 11 35 Urinary Problems 11 9 Abdominal Pain 10 10 Vaginal Discharge 10 3 Nausea / Vomiting 8 7 Worry 8 4 Chest Pa...

Source: FDA SPL label for Prometrium (Acertis Pharmaceuticals, LLC), effective 20260723. Full label on DailyMed.

Side-effect reports sent to the FDA

These are counts of reports people filed, not rates of harm. Anyone can file one, and nobody checks whether the drug was the cause. Millions of doses are taken for every report sent, so the useful part is how this drug compares with the average across all drugs.

20,758reports that mention this drug
20,703of those blame this drug, not another one the person was taking
57%of reports describe a serious outcome, such as a hospital stay (average for all drugs: 57%)
2.1%of reports include a death, from any cause (average for all drugs: 9.1%)

Problems reported most often

Headache · 1,951Off Label Use · 1,869Fatigue · 1,695Drug Ineffective · 1,619Pain · 1,350Nausea · 1,278Foetal Exposure During Pregnancy · 1,063Exposure During Pregnancy · 1,056Rash · 913Hypersensitivity · 874Maternal Exposure During Pregnancy · 867Dizziness · 832Product Use Issue · 826Hyperhidrosis · 804Diarrhoea · 756

Reports per year

20192020202120222023202420252026
1,7321,7261,5331,5771,8072,1902,4021,675

Source: the FDA's Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS). Reports are voluntary and unverified. Drugs that are prescribed a lot, in the news, or in lawsuits attract more reports, so the percentages are compared with the whole database to correct for that partly, not fully.

Recalls and regulatory record

4recall actions on file
9 / 16brand / generic applications
3label changes since 2021
NoREMS program
DateClassFirmReason
12/2024Class IIEugia US LLCPresence of Particulate Matter: A market complaint was received of a glass piece in the vial.
07/2024Class IIEugia US LLCPresence of Particulate Matter: Complaint received of a glass particle in the vial.
02/2021Class IIDr. Reddy's Laboratories, Inc.Failed Dissolution Specifications: Out-of-specification results observed for dissolution during stability testing.
09/2013Class IIIFerring Pharmaceuticals IncDiscoloration; due to prolonged heat exposure.

Class I = reasonable probability of serious harm. Class II = temporary or reversible harm. Class III = unlikely to harm. Most generic recalls are manufacturing or labeling defects for one lot, not a verdict on the molecule.

Evidence base

846randomized trials (PubMed)
170systematic reviews
1,265registered trials
38%of completed trials posted results
12%terminated or withdrawn
19%industry-funded

Independent Cochrane reviews

Counts measure how much evidence exists and how transparent it is, not how big the benefit is. For that, ask your prescriber: if 100 people like me took this, how many would get better because of it, and how many would be harmed? (Doctors call these the "number needed to treat" and "number needed to harm.") It differs by condition and is the number drug ads leave out. Sources: PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov.

Money and lawsuits

In 2024, drug companies reported $2,031 in payments to US physicians and hospitals tied to this drug across 36 transactions (Endometrin $2,031).

No pending federal MDL names this drug or its brands.

Not named in any federal pharmaceutical settlement of $100M or more on record.

Sources: CMS Open Payments (Sunshine Act); Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation pending docket list; DOJ settlements as tabulated on Wikipedia with links to the primary record. State-court and individual suits are not included.

Who takes it and what it costs

100Medicare Part D patients (2024)
216prescriptions filled
$36average cost per fill
$0Mtotal Medicare spend

Same-class alternatives

17-alpha-hydroxyprogesteronegestronol

Same ATC pharmacological class, graded ones first, best grade at the top. Being in the same class does not make them interchangeable for your condition; it makes them worth asking about.

Questions to ask your prescriber

  1. This drug carries a boxed warning. Which specific risk does it cover, and does it apply to me?
  2. The most-reported problems in FDA's adverse event data are headache, fatigue. How would we recognize and handle those?
  3. Off-label use is among the most-reported items for this drug. Is my use on-label, and if not, what evidence supports it?
  4. Why this one over 17-alpha-hydroxyprogesterone, gestronol, medroxyprogesterone? What would make you pick one of those instead?
  5. What result are we expecting, by when, and what is the plan if it does not happen?
  6. If 100 people like me took this drug, how many would actually get better because of it, and how many would be harmed by it? (Doctors call these the number needed to treat and the number needed to harm.)